More than 280 dead, ain't it enough???
How many of these were
directly attributable to lack of a declaration of Functional Safety??
In General Aviation (GA) in the US between 1990 and 2000 there were 3256 fatal and 11180 non-fatal accidents [1] which had aircrew error as a casual factor. This report does not show the attribution for equipment failure but I think I can get it from another report but not likely to be for the same time period; however, from memory it will be in the order of a few percentage points. The Fatal Accident Rate per 100 000 hrs is in the order of 1.5 [2] from an ANNUAL fatality rate of around 550-600. Aircraft flown in General Aviation will have Functional Safety Certifications inline with FAA requirements.
The following images from this report show where the 'Unsafe Acts' are broken down into. The labels on the graphs are relatively self-explanatory.
So, even in an environment which has a functional safety requirement, has a significant amount of bureaucracy and oversight (although not to the same level as commercial or military aviation), we still end up with violations causing in the order of 30% of fatalities. The survivability rate between non-fatal and fatal accidents is quite surprising when it comes to violations; you are more likely to kill yourself if you violate the rules than make an error.
I was typing this up when your shooting analogy came in. I don't think it is a fair comparison because you need to have a licence to shoot. If you commit a violation, you either are thrown out of the range and/or end up in jail. In diving, there are no dive police and it is up to YOU to make the decision about breaking the rules, or keeping current in your skills . This is not the case in shooting where you have a direct level of supervision.
I was thinking about violations the other day when I was driving up for a meeting and doing a little over the speed limit. I know I am breaking the rules, but am I more worried about injuring myself or someone else, or am I more worried about getting caught by the police?
A final analogy for you to think about - Freefall parachuting and the CYPRES Automatic Activation Device
http://www.cypresusa.com/userguide/CYPRES_2_Users_Guide_English_01-2013.pdf
Every technical device can fail. So everything imaginable can happen with the CYPRES, including, but not limited to: displaying a status which is not true, failing to function, or functioning at a wrong moment or at a wrong occasion. If you or your friends or family are not willing to accept these uncertainties and risks, then please don’t use CYPRES. - page 9
The Disclaimer is on page 46 and there is no mention of Functional Safety in there either.
Automatic activation devices (AADs) sometimes display a wrong status, fail to operate or operate properly, and sometimes activate when they should not, even when properly installed and operated. Therefore the user risks serious injury or even death to themselves and others during each use...Please note that even though CYPRES has an extraordinary track record, your results may vary.
[1] Wiegmann, D., Shappell, S., Boquet, A., Detwiler, C., Holcomb, K. & Faaborg, T., 2005, Human error and general aviation accidents: A comprehensive, fine-grained analysis using HFACS. Federal Aviation Administration.
[2]
AOPA Online: General Aviation Safety Record — Current and Historic - we don't have a consistent fatality rate for diving (i.e. per divers, per dives, per hours in water) but the annual dive fatality rate from BSAC and DAN AP is in the order of 0.5 to 1:200 000.